Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 13.8% | 86.2% | +10.1 | ✗ (22.1 off) |
| Efficiency | 83.6% | 16.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals -12 (63-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Fields * | 33 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 6-8 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 22 | - |
| Freddy Hicks * | 29 | 7-18 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | - |
| Dyondre Dominguez * | 29 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Derrian Ford * | 24 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Izaiyah Nelson * | 23 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Taryn Todd | 20 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -4 | - |
| Avery Felts | 18 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| LaQuill Hardnett | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Lado Laku | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Julian Lual | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Zane Butler | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Noah McDavid | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skyy Clark * | 35 | 4-14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | -6 | - |
| Mike James * | 33 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Brandon Huntley-Hatfield * | 31 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 12-14 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 26 | - |
| Tre White * | 31 | 5-13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| T. Johnson * | 22 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Curtis Williams | 17 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Danilo Jovanovich | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Emmanuel Okorafor | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Kaleb Glenn | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Hercy Miller | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Z. Payne | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Aidan McCool | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter