Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Little Rock Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 70.6% | 29.4% | -4.8 | ✗ (15.8 off) |
| Efficiency | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Little Rock Trojans +11 (77-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Ford * | 33 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 4 | - |
| F. Hicks * | 21 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| L. Laku * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| C. Fields * | 9 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| T. Ford Jr. * | 5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| T. Todd | 28 | 4-15 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9 | -4 | - |
| D. Dominguez | 28 | 7-11 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 17 | - |
| I. Nelson | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | - |
| A. Felts | 18 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| J. Lual | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Z. Butler | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Douglas * | 38 | 7-12 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 18 | - |
| D. Gordon * | 34 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 17 | - |
| J. Crocker-Johnson * | 23 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| J. Jefferson * | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Downing | 35 | 4-13 | 2-9 | 8-8 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 9 | - |
| C. Williamson | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| P. Kuzmanovic | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter