Model Predictions
| Model | Alcorn State Braves | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.4% | 93.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.6% | 96.4% | +18.1 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Efficiency | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +14 (100-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alcorn State Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Thorn * | 29 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| J. Kendall * | 23 | 11-14 | 0-0 | 6-11 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 31 | - |
| B. Joshua * | 23 | 2-12 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -3 | - |
| J. Gambrell * | 18 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | - |
| C. Butler * | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Massenat | 22 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| M. Pajeaud | 22 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 10-10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 19 | - |
| J. Hawkins | 21 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| A. Tsynkevich | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Gaines-Wyatt | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| R. Jones | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Todd * | 29 | 5-13 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 7 | - |
| F. Hicks * | 27 | 5-8 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| D. Dominguez * | 23 | 7-10 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 20 | - |
| D. Ford * | 23 | 2-9 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| L. Laku * | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Z. Butler | 24 | 4-7 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| A. Felts | 20 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| I. Nelson | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| C. Fields | 16 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | - |
| N. McDavid | 7 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
* = starter