Model Predictions
| Model | UNC Wilmington Seahawks | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.0% | 71.0% | +4.9 | ✓ (11.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +16 (106-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNC Wilmington Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Phillips * | 28 | 9-13 | 3-4 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 19 | - |
| M. Harden-Hayes * | 23 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| D. Newby * | 20 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Noah Ross * | 13 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Khamari McGriff * | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. White | 33 | 9-20 | 1-4 | 9-15 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 13 | - |
| KJ Jenkins | 33 | 4-16 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | - |
| E. Van Der Heijden | 26 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 14 | - |
| Nolan Hodge | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davonte Davis * | 35 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 21 | - |
| Keyon Menifield Jr. * | 35 | 8-14 | 3-7 | 13-17 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 32 | 24 | - |
| Trevon Brazile * | 33 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Tramon Mark * | 24 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Chandler Lawson * | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Jalen Graham | 27 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Player #4897145 | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Layden Blocker | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Khalif Battle | 7 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jeremiah Davenport | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Makhi Mitchell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Joseph Pinion | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Denijay Harris | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cade Arbogast | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter