Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.5% | 13.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 88.8% | 11.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 93.9% | 6.1% | -15.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 77.0% | 23.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 91.4% | 8.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.3% | 7.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.4% | 7.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons -9 (73-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #4432117 * | 34 | 10-14 | 3-5 | 6-7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 17 | - |
| Joel Scott * | 33 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 8-16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 14 | +7.1 |
| Player #4702384 * | 33 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 5-8 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 22 | - |
| Patrick Cartier * | 24 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | +4.5 |
| Josiah Strong * | 18 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +1.3 |
| Jalen Lake | 24 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +3.7 |
| Joe Palmer | 17 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8 | -0.5 |
| Taviontae Jackson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.6 |
| Rashaan Mbemba | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.5 |
| Kyan. Evans | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.4 |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rytis Petraitis * | 37 | 10-15 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 26 | +3.4 |
| Ethan Taylor * | 34 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | +0.7 |
| Kellan Boylan * | 30 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | -5.3 |
| Beau Becker * | 23 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7 | -3.4 |
| Byron Brown * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -0.7 |
| Jeffrey Mills | 27 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -2.9 |
| Luke Kearney | 25 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | -5.0 |
| Wesley Celichowski | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1.9 |
* = starter