Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | Utah State Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.2% | 98.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.4% | 97.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.1% | 98.9% | +24.7 | ✓ (12.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 2.8% | 97.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.2% | 97.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.2% | 97.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah State Aggies +12 (72-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rytis Petraitis * | 40 | 7-19 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 2 | -6.8 |
| Ethan Taylor * | 40 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | -9.7 |
| Byron Brown * | 39 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 14 | -6.8 |
| Kellan Boylan * | 34 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -2.6 |
| Beau Becker * | 34 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | -3.1 |
| Luke Kearney | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -7.5 |
| Wesley Celichowski | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -6.6 |
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Brown II * | 38 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | +8.1 |
| Mason Falslev * | 33 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | +10.6 |
| Josh Uduje * | 30 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | +2.7 |
| Ian Martinez * | 29 | 7-10 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 16 | +3.5 |
| Great Osobor * | 28 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 4 | +1.0 |
| Javon Jackson | 30 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | +10.8 |
| Kalifa Sakho | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +6.2 |
| Isaac Johnson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | +1.8 |
* = starter