Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 88.2% | 11.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 88.1% | 11.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 94.0% | 6.0% | -15.1 | ✓ (15.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 75.3% | 24.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 91.2% | 8.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.9% | 7.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.0% | 7.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons -31 (48-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyson Degenhart * | 31 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 9-10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 17 | +30.0 |
| Chibuzo Agbo * | 28 | 5-7 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 17 | +9.4 |
| Max Rice * | 25 | 1-7 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | +12.8 |
| O'Mar Stanley * | 21 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | +4.5 |
| Roddie Anderson III * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | +18.5 |
| Player #4897492 | 25 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| RJ Keene | 20 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +13.9 |
| Jace Whiting | 19 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | +9.9 |
| Kobe Young | 7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +7.4 |
| Andrew Meadow | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +5.6 |
| Kade Rice | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rytis Petraitis * | 39 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 7-8 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 18 | -21.3 |
| Kellan Boylan * | 36 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -17.6 |
| Ethan Taylor * | 30 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | -18.8 |
| Beau Becker * | 22 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -10.8 |
| Byron Brown * | 20 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | -14.8 |
| Luke Kearney | 31 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -24.5 |
| Wesley Celichowski | 18 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -15.9 |
| Chase Beasley | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Kolby Gilles | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
* = starter