Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.6% | 97.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.6% | 95.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 1.4% | 98.6% | +23.5 | ✗ (24.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos -1 (77-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Taylor * | 40 | 4-13 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | +3.7 |
| Kellan Boylan * | 39 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | -4.0 |
| Beau Becker * | 31 | 8-17 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 9 | +3.6 |
| Rytis Petraitis * | 21 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 11 | -0.9 |
| Jeffrey Mills * | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.6 |
| Byron Brown | 36 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 14 | +7.3 |
| Luke Kearney | 20 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +7.2 |
| Wesley Celichowski | 9 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +1.0 |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Mashburn * | 38 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 3 | - |
| Donovan Dent * | 36 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 18 | -1.7 |
| N. Junior Joseph * | 30 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 21 | +3.5 |
| JT Toppin * | 29 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | -1.3 |
| Player #4431763 * | 20 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Mustapha Amzil | 20 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | -3.8 |
| Tru Washington | 18 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -10.3 |
| J. Baker | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -7.2 |
* = starter