Model Predictions
| Model | UNLV Rebels | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.7% | 20.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 83.8% | 16.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 87.2% | 12.8% | -10.5 | ✓ (18.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 75.7% | 24.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 87.7% | 12.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.7% | 8.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.8% | 8.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons -29 (43-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keylan Boone * | 31 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Dedan Thomas Jr. * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | +18.6 |
| Player #4396969 * | 23 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Rob Whaley Jr. * | 22 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14 | +16.8 |
| K. Boone * | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Justin Webster | 23 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | +13.0 |
| Jackie Johnson III | 21 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -2 | +8.6 |
| Brooklyn Hicks | 17 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 5-7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | +4.5 |
| Shane Nowell | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +1.8 |
| Karl Jones | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
| Isaiah Cottrell | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.5 |
| Nick Walters | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Taylor * | 39 | 6-14 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 6 | -20.4 |
| Kellan Boylan * | 33 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -11.9 |
| Byron Brown * | 31 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -19.8 |
| Beau Becker * | 30 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | -15.0 |
| Rytis Petraitis * | 27 | 3-11 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | -12.0 |
| Luke Kearney | 14 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -9.0 |
| Wesley Celichowski | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Chase Beasley | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -8.2 |
| Kolby Gilles | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +0.2 |
| Brady Ruggles | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
| Wyatt Boeker | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.0 |
* = starter