Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.3% | 93.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.0% | 93.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.3% | 97.7% | +20.6 | ✓ (17.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 2.8% | 97.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.1% | 98.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos +38 (94-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey Mills * | 34 | 6-9 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Beau Becker * | 29 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Rytis Petraitis * | 29 | 0-8 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Kellan Boylan * | 27 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Ethan Taylor * | 25 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Byron Brown | 21 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Chase Beasley | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kolby Gilles | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Luke Kearney | 8 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Wesley Celichowski | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brady Ruggles | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyson Degenhart * | 34 | 11-12 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 25 | - |
| Max Rice * | 33 | 4-8 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| O'Mar Stanley * | 23 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Chibuzo Agbo * | 20 | 4-9 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Roddie Anderson III * | 19 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Jace Whiting | 21 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Player #4897492 | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Kobe Young | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Andrew Meadow | 9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| RJ Keene | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mohamed Sylla | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kade Rice | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter