Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.4% | 88.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.8% | 90.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 5.2% | 94.8% | +16.0 | ✗ (48.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 6.3% | 93.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.3% | 97.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.2% | 97.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels -32 (58-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Taylor * | 38 | 7-15 | 4-9 | 4-5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Rytis Petraitis * | 38 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 34 | - |
| Jeffrey Mills * | 37 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Kellan Boylan * | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Beau Becker * | 19 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Luke Kearney | 21 | 5-10 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Byron Brown | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Chase Beasley | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kolby Gilles | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Brady Ruggles | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keylan Boone * | 33 | 4-12 | 2-8 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Dedan Thomas Jr. * | 29 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Player #4396969 * | 27 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Justin Webster * | 23 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| K. Boone * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jackie Johnson III | 21 | 0-9 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Rob Whaley Jr. | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Brooklyn Hicks | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Shane Nowell | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Isaiah Cottrell | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Karl Jones | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter