Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 95.0% | 5.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 92.1% | 7.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 96.4% | 3.6% | -18.1 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 79.4% | 20.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 93.6% | 6.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.5% | 5.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.5% | 5.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons -19 (66-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Dent * | 32 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 5 | - |
| JT Toppin * | 31 | 12-15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 24 | - |
| Jamal Mashburn * | 29 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 1 | - |
| Player #4431763 * | 26 | 4-9 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| N. Junior Joseph * | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Mustapha Amzil | 26 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Tru Washington | 24 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - |
| J. Baker | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Quinton Webb | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Braden Appelhans | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| I. Mushila | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Forsling | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rytis Petraitis * | 37 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 4-9 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Ethan Taylor * | 37 | 2-11 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Beau Becker * | 37 | 10-18 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 12 | - |
| Kellan Boylan * | 36 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Jeffrey Mills * | 35 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Chase Beasley | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kolby Gilles | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Luke Kearney | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Brady Ruggles | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Byron Brown | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter