Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana State Sycamores | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.3% | 93.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.0% | 95.0% | +16.2 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +12 (87-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Swope * | 39 | 9-18 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 14 | - |
| J. Larry * | 36 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| R. Conwell * | 34 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| J. Kent * | 22 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| R. Avila * | 18 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| X. Bledson | 25 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| A. Gray | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| J. Wolfe | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Vorst | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Miller | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Akins * | 35 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| A. Hoggard * | 32 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Player #4432129 * | 31 | 5-15 | 2-5 | 10-10 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Player #4592693 * | 25 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 19 | - |
| M. Sissoko * | 24 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| T. Holloman | 20 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| C. Carr | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| C. Cooper | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
* = starter