Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.9% | 30.1% | -4.6 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons -4 (79-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaron Rillie * | 37 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Saint Thomas * | 32 | 10-13 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 23 | - |
| Riley Abercrombie * | 25 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Brock Wisne * | 23 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Dejour Reaves * | 20 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -2 | - |
| Langston Reynolds | 19 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Zach Bloch | 17 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Theo Hughes | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Marcell McCreary | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kellan Boylan * | 40 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 23 | - |
| Ethan Taylor * | 40 | 4-15 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | -3 | - |
| Jeffrey Mills * | 38 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Beau Becker * | 31 | 10-15 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 18 | - |
| Rytis Petraitis * | 28 | 7-10 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Byron Brown | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Corbin Green | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
* = starter