Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | BYU Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.3% | 81.7% | +8.2 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: BYU Cougars +9 (74-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Waters * | 36 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| L. Butler * | 32 | 3-11 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | - |
| J. LeDee * | 32 | 9-16 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 12 | - |
| M. Parrish * | 27 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 5 | - |
| E. Saunders * | 25 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| D. Trammell | 22 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| J. Pal | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Heide | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| BJ Davis | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
BYU Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Johnson * | 33 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| F. Traore * | 30 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| T. Knell * | 30 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| N. Waterman * | 18 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Stewart * | 15 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -2 | - |
| D. Hall | 25 | 6-13 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 6 | - |
| R. Saunders | 22 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| J. Robinson | 17 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| A. Khalifa | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Ally Atiki | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter