Model Predictions
| Model | Baylor Bears | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.7% | 68.3% | +4.2 | ✓ (19.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +24 (88-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Baylor Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RayJ Dennis * | 34 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Ja'Kobe Walter * | 33 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Jalen Bridges * | 25 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Jayden Nunn * | 23 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 1-3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Yves Missi * | 19 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Josh Ojianwuna | 19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Langston Love | 18 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -6 | - |
| Caleb Lohner | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Miro Little | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Dantwan Grimes | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Austin Sacks | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyson Walker * | 31 | 9-16 | 4-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 19 | - |
| Jaden Akins * | 25 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| A.J. Hoggard * | 24 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Malik Hall * | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Mady Sissoko * | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Coen Carr | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Tre Holloman | 18 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Jeremy Fears Jr. | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Carson Cooper | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Xavier Booker | 8 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Davis Smith | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Nick Sanders | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Steven Izzo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter