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2023-12-16

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 18.6% 81.4% -
Bradley-Terry 38.0% 62.0% -
Margin 31.7% 68.3% +4.2 (19.8 off)
Pythagorean 44.2% 55.8% -
Efficiency 58.9% 41.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 35.6% 64.4% -
Log Adjusted 35.5% 64.5% -

Actual: Michigan State Spartans +24 (88-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Dennis * 34 5-9 1-3 0-1 1 7 1 0 6 11 5 -
J. Walter * 33 3-9 0-1 3-3 2 2 1 0 0 9 5 -
J. Bridges * 25 2-5 1-3 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 5 3 -
J. Nunn * 23 3-6 2-3 1-3 0 2 2 0 6 9 1 -
Y. Missi * 19 5-6 0-0 1-4 3 0 1 0 2 11 7 -
J. Ojianwuna 19 3-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 6 6 -
L. Love 18 0-4 0-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -6 -
C. Lohner 10 0-2 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
M. Little 9 1-1 1-1 2-2 0 0 1 0 0 5 5 -
D. Grimes 7 1-2 1-2 3-4 0 1 0 0 0 6 5 -
A. Sacks 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Walker * 31 9-16 4-4 3-4 3 4 5 1 3 25 19 -
J. Akins * 25 2-6 1-3 0-1 4 0 1 1 1 5 4 -
A. Hoggard * 24 5-10 0-1 4-5 2 5 3 0 4 14 10 -
M. Hall * 22 2-2 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 5 5 -
M. Sissoko * 19 1-2 0-0 2-2 8 1 0 1 1 4 11 -
C. Carr 19 2-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 2 1 0 6 8 -
T. Holloman 18 4-5 2-3 1-2 2 1 2 1 0 11 12 -
J. Fears Jr. 16 0-0 0-0 2-4 1 4 2 0 2 2 7 -
C. Cooper 13 3-3 0-0 2-2 4 2 0 1 2 8 10 -
X. Booker 8 3-3 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 7 4 -
D. Smith 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
N. Sanders 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Izzo 1 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter