Model Predictions
| Model | UTSA Roadrunners | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.2% | 77.8% | +6.9 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Efficiency | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats +10 (72-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Tucker * | 34 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 7-7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Dre Fuller Jr. * | 30 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Adante’ Holiman * | 28 | 2-9 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Trey Edmonds * | 19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Carlton Linguard Jr. * | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Chandler Cuthrell | 27 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| PJ Carter | 19 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Massal Diouf | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Isaiah Wyatt | 15 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Nazar Mahmoud | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Turner * | 37 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 10-12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Dylan Dawson * | 36 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 5-7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Brandon Love * | 32 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 6-13 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 22 | - |
| Joshua O'Garro * | 30 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 4-7 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Kaden Gumbs * | 28 | 3-12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Dontae Horne | 16 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Chris Nix | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Elijah Tate | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter