Model Predictions
| Model | SMU Mustangs | Arizona State Sun Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.1% | 37.9% | -2.7 | ✗ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 90.5% | 9.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.1% | 22.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.4% | 22.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Arizona State Sun Devils +2 (76-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Phelps * | 34 | 10-18 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 15 | - |
| C. Harris * | 31 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| B.J. Edwards * | 25 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| S. Williamson * | 21 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| K. Ambrose-Hylton * | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Smith | 21 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| T. Smith | 21 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| J. Hudson | 17 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| R. Wright | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Lanier | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Mo Njie | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arizona State Sun Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Neal * | 35 | 2-11 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J. Perez * | 30 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 12-15 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 18 | - |
| F. Collins * | 30 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 18 | - |
| A. Gaffney * | 30 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| B. Selebangue * | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| K. Lands | 28 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 4-6 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| B. Green | 13 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| M. Davis | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Watson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter