Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | Arizona Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.2% | 69.8% | +4.6 | ✓ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arizona Wildcats +13 (87-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Sears * | 36 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 7-8 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Grant Nelson * | 30 | 5-19 | 3-15 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 3 | - |
| Rylan Griffen * | 28 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Aaron Estrada * | 28 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Mohamed Wague * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Sam Walters | 20 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 6-8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Latrell Wrightsell Jr. | 16 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Nick Pringle | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Jarin Stevenson | 10 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Mouhamed Dioubate | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arizona Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pelle Larsson * | 38 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Kylan Boswell * | 33 | 6-14 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Oumar Ballo * | 31 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Keshad Johnson * | 28 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Caleb Love * | 25 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 7-7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 6 | - |
| KJ Lewis | 22 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Jaden Bradley | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Motiejus Krivas | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter