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2023-12-06

Model Predictions

Model UC Davis Aggies Nevada Wolf Pack Spread Result
Elo 36.2% 63.8% -
Bradley-Terry 21.1% 78.9% -
Margin 6.0% 94.0% +15.2 (3.2 off)
Pythagorean 48.7% 51.3% -
Efficiency 15.0% 85.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 7.8% 92.2% -
Log Adjusted 7.8% 92.2% -

Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack +12 (80-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Davis Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Milling * 37 5-12 5-8 1-1 6 2 2 1 2 16 13 -
E. Pepper * 31 8-15 4-11 0-0 6 2 1 0 2 20 12 -
A. Adebayo * 31 1-3 0-0 6-8 2 0 0 1 2 8 6 -
Ty Johnson * 27 4-10 0-2 1-2 5 4 1 0 5 9 4 -
F. Borra * 14 2-5 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 0 2 6 3 -
L. DeBruhl 21 3-6 0-2 0-1 2 2 0 0 3 6 1 -
N. Rocak 17 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 3 0 0 8 -
S. Manu 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 3 0 -1 -
C. Sevilla 9 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
D. Carter 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Nevada Wolf Pack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Blackshear * 34 10-18 0-1 5-9 4 3 0 1 3 25 12 -
Player #4431765 * 33 0-9 0-1 13-15 5 1 0 0 2 13 8 -
T. Coleman * 30 1-2 0-0 1-2 2 2 1 0 2 3 4 -
N. Davidson * 26 3-6 0-1 5-5 8 1 0 1 2 11 13 -
K.J. Hymes * 20 3-4 0-0 2-4 2 1 0 1 0 8 8 -
H. McIntosh 24 3-5 3-4 4-6 2 0 2 0 0 13 12 -
D. Foster 16 1-2 1-1 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 3 7 -
T. Rolison 11 0-3 0-1 2-3 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 -
J. Gardner 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 0 1 -
J. Coleman 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter