Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Nevada Wolf Pack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.0% | 94.0% | +15.2 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.8% | 92.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.8% | 92.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack +12 (80-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Milling * | 37 | 5-12 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 13 | - |
| E. Pepper * | 31 | 8-15 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 12 | - |
| A. Adebayo * | 31 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Ty Johnson * | 27 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 4 | - |
| F. Borra * | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| L. DeBruhl | 21 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | - |
| N. Rocak | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - |
| S. Manu | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Sevilla | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| D. Carter | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Blackshear * | 34 | 10-18 | 0-1 | 5-9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 12 | - |
| Player #4431765 * | 33 | 0-9 | 0-1 | 13-15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| T. Coleman * | 30 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| N. Davidson * | 26 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 13 | - |
| K.J. Hymes * | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| H. McIntosh | 24 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| D. Foster | 16 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| T. Rolison | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Gardner | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Coleman | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter