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2023-11-29

Model Predictions

Model Montana Grizzlies Nevada Wolf Pack Spread Result
Elo 20.5% 79.5% -
Bradley-Terry 22.3% 77.7% -
Margin 6.9% 93.1% +14.3 (3.3 off)
Pythagorean 48.2% 51.8% -
Efficiency 19.5% 80.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 6.1% 93.9% -
Log Adjusted 6.1% 93.9% -

Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack +11 (77-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Moody * 35 9-20 4-12 0-0 2 3 1 0 2 22 6 -
L. Oke * 34 4-8 0-0 5-7 19 2 1 2 1 13 28 -
D. Thomas * 20 1-3 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 0 0 4 6 -
G. Williams * 17 2-4 0-1 0-0 4 0 1 0 3 4 2 -
B. Whitney * 16 0-4 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 1 -3 -
J. Vazquez 29 1-5 0-4 2-2 3 5 0 0 1 4 6 -
M. Williams 27 6-20 1-8 2-2 7 3 1 0 1 15 5 -
T. Sawyer 13 1-3 0-0 1-2 0 2 0 2 1 3 3 -
B. Jones 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Nap 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
C. Dick 2 0-1 0-1 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Henderson 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Nevada Wolf Pack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Player #4431765 * 32 3-10 1-3 9-10 1 1 1 0 1 16 8 -
K. Blackshear * 28 7-10 0-1 8-11 10 2 1 0 2 22 23 -
D. Foster * 25 2-5 0-1 0-1 3 1 0 1 0 4 4 -
K.J. Hymes * 24 2-4 0-0 9-12 5 0 0 1 1 13 14 -
N. Davidson * 20 1-4 1-3 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 3 2 -
T. Coleman 28 2-6 1-3 2-2 6 5 1 1 1 7 13 -
H. McIntosh 15 1-2 1-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 3 4 -
T. Rolison 15 1-3 1-1 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 5 3 -
J. Gardner 12 1-5 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
J. Coleman 1 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

* = starter