Model Predictions
| Model | Montana Grizzlies | Nevada Wolf Pack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.9% | 93.1% | +14.3 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.1% | 93.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.1% | 93.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack +11 (77-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Moody * | 35 | 9-20 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 6 | - |
| L. Oke * | 34 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 28 | - |
| D. Thomas * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| G. Williams * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| B. Whitney * | 16 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | - |
| J. Vazquez | 29 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| M. Williams | 27 | 6-20 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | - |
| T. Sawyer | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| B. Jones | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Nap | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Dick | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Henderson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #4431765 * | 32 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 9-10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 8 | - |
| K. Blackshear * | 28 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 8-11 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 23 | - |
| D. Foster * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| K.J. Hymes * | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 9-12 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| N. Davidson * | 20 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| T. Coleman | 28 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| H. McIntosh | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| T. Rolison | 15 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| J. Gardner | 12 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| J. Coleman | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter