Model Predictions
| Model | Stonehill Skyhawks | Merrimack Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.3% | 93.7% | +14.9 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Merrimack Warriors +18 (74-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Stonehill Skyhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Hayward | 40 | 3-9 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| J. Thornton | 37 | 7-21 | 0-1 | 5-9 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | -1 | - |
| M. Stapleton | 36 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 | - |
| C. Ward | 34 | 7-12 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 17 | - |
| B. Paquette | 20 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| C. Mauristhene | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| P. Martin | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Boruta | 5 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| B. Delaney | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Wheeler | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Merrimack Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. DeCesare | 39 | 4-13 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| K. Thomas | 29 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| M. Roman | 29 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Thalia Shepard | 29 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 7 | - |
| P. Garcia | 24 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| R. Caso | 19 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4 | - |
| A. Owens | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| D. Christian | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| C. Johnson | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Melaschenko | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter