Model Predictions
| Model | Merrimack Warriors | Saint Francis Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.1% | 27.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 88.3% | 11.7% | -11.1 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 89.4% | 10.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 93.7% | 6.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.1% | 6.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.4% | 6.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 71.7% | 28.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Francis Red Wolves -15 (57-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Merrimack Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thalia Shepard | 31 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 18 | - |
| K. Thomas | 29 | 1-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | - |
| Rose Caso | 27 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Paloma Garcia | 27 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| D. Christian | 26 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Madison Roman | 20 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Molly Manion | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| J. DeCesare | 15 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 8-8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 12 | - |
| L. Melaschenko | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
Saint Francis Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendall Carruthers | 37 | 4-14 | 3-8 | 6-8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 6 | - |
| Yanessa Boyd | 35 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Marina Artero | 32 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| K. Dorsey | 28 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Julianna Gibson | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Marissa Shelton | 22 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Harris Robinson | 20 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Fanta Daffe | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter