Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Francis Red Wolves | Merrimack Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.3% | 94.7% | +15.9 | ✓ (7.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 4.6% | 95.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Merrimack Warriors +23 (71-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Francis Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Ward | 32 | 6-15 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 0 | - |
| Kendall Carruthers | 29 | 3-11 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Harris Robinson | 25 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Marina Artero | 23 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Yanessa Boyd | 23 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Julianna Gibson | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Kameryn Dorsey | 20 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Marissa Shelton | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Fanta Daffe | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Scanlon | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Merrimack Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. DeCesare | 39 | 8-16 | 0-1 | 9-12 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 18 | - |
| K. Thomas | 38 | 3-17 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | -1 | - |
| Thalia Shepard | 35 | 9-16 | 1-3 | 1-5 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 16 | - |
| D. Christian | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Madison Roman | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Paloma Garcia | 21 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Cadence Johnson | 16 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| L. Melaschenko | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Okoh | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
* = starter