Model Predictions
| Model | Youngstown State Penguins | Saint Francis Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 91.4% | 8.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.8% | 20.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 98.0% | 2.0% | -21.5 | ✓ (15.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 89.1% | 10.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 93.4% | 6.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.7% | 3.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.8% | 3.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 85.0% | 15.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Francis Red Wolves -37 (32-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Youngstown State Penguins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Jarrells | 28 | 5-10 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14 | - |
| S. Kirby | 27 | 4-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Haley Thierry | 24 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - |
| Abby Liber | 22 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 17 | - |
| M. Aulbach | 22 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| E. Saunders | 20 | 11-15 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 10 | - |
| Malia Magestro | 20 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| L. Linard | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Bella Samz | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Abbie Davidson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Hurd | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| P. Shy | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Saint Francis Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendall Carruthers | 31 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -5 | - |
| D. Ward | 28 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Yanessa Boyd | 25 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Julianna Gibson | 23 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Marina Artero | 22 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| K. Dorsey | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Harris Robinson | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Fanta Daffe | 17 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Marissa Shelton | 15 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -5 | - |
| B. Scanlon | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter