Model Predictions
| Model | Morgan State Lady Bears | Saint Francis Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 89.2% | 10.8% | -11.6 | ✗ (21.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 73.7% | 26.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 80.9% | 19.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.5% | 6.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.8% | 6.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 71.3% | 28.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Saint Francis Red Wolves +10 (69-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Morgan State Lady Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Johnson | 35 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Tamaria Rumph | 29 | 5-14 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Gabrielle Johnson | 28 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Kaia Ponder | 27 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| S. Payne | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Amari Smith | 18 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Dakota Alston | 15 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Emily Jones | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jael Butler | 9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 4 | - |
| B. Jones | 5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Nakilah Johnson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Saint Francis Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Ward | 36 | 5-13 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Kendall Carruthers | 33 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Julianna Gibson | 31 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Yanessa Boyd | 28 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Harris Robinson | 22 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Marina Artero | 22 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - |
| K. Dorsey | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Marissa Shelton | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Fanta Daffe | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter