Model Predictions
| Model | Merrimack Warriors | Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.2% | 87.8% | +10.9 | ✓ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fairleigh Dickinson Knights +16 (67-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Merrimack Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Melaschenko | 28 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | - |
| M. Manion | 25 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| J. DeCesare | 25 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | - |
| K. Thomas | 21 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 4 | - |
| M. Roman | 20 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| A. Staton | 17 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| D. Christian | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| P. Garcia | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. Johnson | 13 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| R. Caso | 12 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| T. Shepard | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Conklin | 38 | 6-13 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 12 | - |
| L. Parke | 31 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| A. Babore | 27 | 2-8 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| T. Brown | 24 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 17 | - |
| S. Williams | 23 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 5 | - |
| W. Sorensen | 21 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| B. Toomey | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| N. Carter | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. McGinn | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Osei-Owusu | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Garca Blackwood | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Andrews | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter