Model Predictions
| Model | Pepperdine Waves | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.1% | 96.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 6.8% | 93.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.1% | 97.9% | +21.2 | ✓ (22.8 off) |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +44 (103-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pepperdine Waves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jevon Porter * | 37 | 4-15 | 0-6 | 5-7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 0 | - |
| Michael Ajayi * | 35 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Houston Mallette * | 32 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Ethan Anderson * | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Malik Moore * | 23 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Nils Cooper | 21 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Cord Stansberry | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Aladji Gassama | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Curtis Williams | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| John Squire | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augustas Marciulionis * | 34 | 11-16 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 24 | - |
| Mitchell Saxen * | 30 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Aidan Mahaney * | 28 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Luke Barrett * | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Alex Ducas * | 21 | 7-9 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Mason Forbes | 31 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Chris Howell | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Harry Wessels | 10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Jordan Ross | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Cade Bennett | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Kevin Gad | 3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter