Model Predictions
| Model | Mercer Bears | East Tennessee State Buccaneers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.7% | 58.3% | +1.8 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: East Tennessee State Buccaneers +6 (77-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stacie Jones | 34 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Briana Peguero | 28 | 4-13 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 | - |
| M. Johnson | 27 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| D. Williams | 25 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Cianté Downs | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Summah Evans | 22 | 6-15 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Maria Serracanta | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Ashlee Locke | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| A. Johnson | 8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| A. Dyson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Hanna Knoll | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brecken Snotherly | 39 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| B. Beatty | 35 | 4-12 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Journee McDaniel | 32 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Nevaeh Brown | 26 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 8-10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Meghan Downing | 24 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Courtney Moore | 20 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 6 | - |
| J. Davis | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| S. Thompson | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Samiah Puckett | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
* = starter