Model Predictions
| Model | East Tennessee State Buccaneers | Morehead State Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.7% | 43.3% | -1.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.8% | 26.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Morehead State Eagles -4 (52-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevaeh Brown | 38 | 7-14 | 1-3 | 4-8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 10 | - |
| B. Beatty | 35 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Kendall Folley | 27 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Courtney Moore | 27 | 2-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3 | - |
| J. Davis | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Meghan Downing | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| S. Thompson | 14 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Jaileyah Cotton | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Brecken Snotherly | 6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Samiah Puckett | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melissa Secchiaroli | 33 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Hallie Rhodes | 29 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| M. Soderlund | 28 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Blessing King | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| V. Charles | 27 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Skylar Barnes | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Kate Novik | 17 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Jayden Rhodes | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Paris McBride | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Hall | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Hannah Hicks | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter