Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Mary's Gaels | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.9% | 52.1% | +0.5 | ✓ (24.5 off) |
| Efficiency | 80.0% | 20.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +25 (79-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Mahaney * | 37 | 3-12 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -2 | - |
| M. Saxen * | 30 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Player #4432971 * | 26 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| J. Jefferson * | 23 | 5-11 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| A. Marciulionis * | 17 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| L. Barrett | 21 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| C. Howell | 14 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | - |
| M. Forbes | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Ross | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| H. Wessels | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Bennett | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Hawke | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #4397237 * | 36 | 10-17 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 19 | - |
| R. Waters * | 32 | 7-9 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 16 | - |
| M. Parrish * | 31 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| E. Saunders * | 24 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| L. Butler * | 23 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| D. Trammell | 20 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| M. Heide | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| M. Byrd | 11 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| J. Pal | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Alger | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Lawin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| BJ Davis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter