Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Mary's Gaels | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.0% | 56.0% | +1.3 | ✓ (23.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +25 (79-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Mahaney * | 37 | 3-12 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -2 | - |
| Mitchell Saxen * | 30 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Player #4432971 * | 26 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Joshua Jefferson * | 23 | 5-11 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Augustas Marciulionis * | 17 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Luke Barrett | 21 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Chris Howell | 14 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | - |
| Mason Forbes | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jordan Ross | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Harry Wessels | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Cade Bennett | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Rory Hawke | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #4397237 * | 36 | 10-17 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 19 | - |
| R. Waters * | 32 | 7-9 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Micah Parrish * | 31 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Elijah Saunders * | 24 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Lamont Butler * | 23 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Darrion Trammell | 20 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Miles Heide | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Miles Byrd | 11 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Jay Pal | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Cade Alger | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Cam Lawin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| BJ Davis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter