Model Predictions
| Model | Toledo Rockets | Bowling Green Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.4% | 46.6% | -0.7 | ✗ (8.7 off) |
| Efficiency | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Bowling Green Falcons +8 (76-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Maddox Jr. * | 36 | 4-12 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 10 | -10.6 |
| R. Moss * | 36 | 7-15 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 13 | -8.6 |
| J. Simmons * | 35 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | -12.6 |
| T. Cochran * | 32 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 8 | +3.3 |
| S. Wilson * | 26 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -12.7 |
| A. Lorentsson | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5.9 |
| B. Ford | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +8.1 |
| S. Lewis | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1.9 |
| B. Wight | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Hill * | 39 | 11-24 | 0-2 | 9-11 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 17 | +2.6 |
| R. Agee * | 35 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 15 | +9.5 |
| T. Thomas * | 32 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | +20.7 |
| D. Phillip * | 31 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| J. Spurgin * | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Towns | 25 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +2.7 |
| D. Humphrey | 19 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -10.2 |
* = starter