Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Toledo Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.4% | 84.6% | +9.4 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Efficiency | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toledo Rockets +5 (77-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Anderson * | 38 | 10-15 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 22 | - |
| M. Pearson Jr. * | 38 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| B. Jihad * | 37 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| D. Bailey * | 36 | 5-14 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 0 | - |
| M. Jones * | 25 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| B. Hendriks | 19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| T. Middleton | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Maddox Jr. * | 36 | 7-17 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 18 | - |
| S. Wilson * | 35 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| R. Moss * | 33 | 9-15 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 11 | - |
| T. Cochran * | 33 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| J. Simmons * | 28 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| A. Lorentsson | 12 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| S. Lewis | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| B. Wight | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter