Model Predictions
| Model | Toledo Rockets | Central Michigan Chippewas | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 97.8% | 2.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 94.5% | 5.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 98.7% | 1.3% | -24.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 85.0% | 15.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.2% | 3.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.9% | 3.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.8% | 3.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 88.3% | 11.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Central Michigan Chippewas -25 (68-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sammi Mikonowicz | 35 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| S. Wiard | 32 | 6-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Q. Lockett | 29 | 9-17 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 11 | - |
| Khera Goss | 23 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Nan Garcia | 20 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Soleil Barnes | 14 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Emmi Rinat | 12 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Jessica Cook | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Cadence Dykstra | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Hannah Noveroske | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Y. Curry | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Macey Fegan | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Ella Weaver | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Doherty | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Central Michigan Chippewas
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Timpe | 33 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Karrington Gordon | 32 | 6-14 | 1-6 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Lisa Tesson | 31 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -1 | - |
| N. Jean | 23 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Capria Brown | 22 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| M. Wardell | 21 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| R. Norris | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Desrae Kyles | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| A. Anderson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Borgman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Lapoint | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| L. Walker | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter