Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Illinois Huskies | Bowling Green Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.7% | 82.3% | +8.5 | ✓ (9.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Bowling Green Falcons +18 (72-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Illinois Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Marable | 33 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Brooke Stonebraker | 32 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Brooke Blumenfeld | 30 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -3 | - |
| Laura Nickel | 28 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Grace Hunter | 24 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Sidney McCrea | 21 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| T. Stauffacher | 16 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Shannon Blacher | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - |
| K. Drake | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Prewitt | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Maddy Fay | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amy Velasco | 36 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 16 | - |
| M. Sharps | 35 | 9-16 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 11 | - |
| Paige Kohler | 34 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Erika Porter | 27 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| O. Hill | 20 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Jaci Tubergen | 15 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| S. Dziekan | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Emily Siesel | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Taya Ellis | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter