Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Central Michigan Chippewas | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 90.9% | 9.1% | -26.7 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 93.9% | 6.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 98.1% | 1.9% | -21.8 | ✓ (10.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 84.9% | 15.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.0% | 4.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.8% | 3.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.7% | 3.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 86.2% | 13.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Central Michigan Chippewas -32 (47-79). Ratings: 2023-24 season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ally Becki * | 33 | 10-11 | 7-8 | 9-10 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 36 | 33 | - |
| Nyla Hampton * | 32 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 14 | - |
| Madelyn Bischoff * | 29 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Marie Kiefer * | 24 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Alex Richard * | 23 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Annie Rauch | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Hana Muhl | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Ana Barreto | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Estel Puiggros | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Sydney Shafer | 5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Ashlynn Brooke | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Olivia Smith | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Sydney Bolden | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Hailey Smith | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Central Michigan Chippewas
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karrington Gordon * | 32 | 2-12 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Lisa Tesson * | 31 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Rochelle Norris * | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Nadege Jean * | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Taylor Anderson * | 19 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Tiana Timpe | 30 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | -2 | - |
| Madisen Wardell | 13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Alina Anderson | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Capria Brown | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter