Model Predictions
| Model | Samford Bulldogs | Mercer Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.6% | 23.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 80.5% | 19.5% | -7.8 | ✗ (11.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.7% | 14.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.6% | 14.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Mercer Bears +4 (88-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rylan Jones * | 31 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 8-11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 10 | - |
| A.J. Staton-McCray * | 27 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Achor Achor * | 26 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 9-13 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 21 | - |
| Jaden Campbell * | 25 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Dallas Graziani * | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jermaine Marshall | 20 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 1 | - |
| Nathan Johnson | 19 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Josh Holloway | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Garrett Hicks | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Riley Allenspach | 5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Lukas Walls | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Chandler Leopard | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Thomas * | 38 | 7-16 | 3-7 | 5-8 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Jake Davis * | 36 | 4-12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Jalyn McCreary * | 32 | 11-16 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 15 | - |
| Caleb Hunter * | 23 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Alex Holt * | 19 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Jah Quinones | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | - |
| TJ Grant | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Jalen Cobb | 14 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Anthony Benard | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter