Model Predictions
| Model | Samford Bulldogs | The Citadel Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 88.9% | 11.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 87.7% | 12.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 84.7% | 15.3% | -9.4 | ✓ (6.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.5% | 12.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.4% | 12.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: The Citadel Bulldogs -16 (64-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rylan Jones * | 28 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Jaden Campbell * | 24 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Dallas Graziani * | 20 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| A.J. Staton-McCray * | 19 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Achor Achor * | 12 | 8-10 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Riley Allenspach | 25 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Nathan Johnson | 20 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Josh Holloway | 18 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Garrett Hicks | 18 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Lukas Walls | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Chandler Leopard | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Zach Loveday | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
The Citadel Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Morgan * | 37 | 9-16 | 7-14 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 15 | - |
| Q. Millora-Brown * | 35 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Madison Durr * | 35 | 4-14 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Keynan Davis * | 25 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Colby Mcallister * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Marcus Pigram | 29 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Josh Davis | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Quinn Nielsen | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Tony Carpio | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kam Roberts | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter