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2024-02-24

Model Predictions

Model Princeton Tigers Dartmouth Big Green Spread Result
Elo 42.4% 57.6% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 77.8% 22.2% - โœ“
Margin 82.5% 17.5% -8.5 โœ“ (3.5 off)
Pythagorean 86.1% 13.9% - โœ“
Efficiency 96.2% 3.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 95.1% 4.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 95.1% 4.9% - โœ“

Actual: Dartmouth Big Green -12 (56-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Princeton Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Caden Pierce * 40 8-14 2-5 4-4 11 1 1 1 2 22 20 +11.5
Matt Allocco * 40 4-8 3-7 3-3 4 4 0 0 2 14 12 -
Xaivian Lee * 37 5-14 1-8 3-6 4 6 3 0 0 14 13 +16.2
Zach Martini * 27 1-6 1-6 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 3 0 -2.6
Blake Peters * 27 1-5 1-5 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 -2 +18.4
Dalen Davis 21 3-5 2-4 4-4 4 4 2 0 0 12 17 +1.5
Jack Scott 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.1
Jackson Hicke 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.9
Darius Gakwasi 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.0

Dartmouth Big Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Johnson * 32 3-6 2-3 3-4 5 3 1 0 4 11 10 -13.3
I. Robinson * 30 4-10 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 8 -1 -11.5
Jackson Munro * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 0 3 +6.0
Dusan Neskovic * 25 7-12 4-6 2-2 5 1 0 0 3 20 11 -
R. McRae III * 13 1-5 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 2 1 -2.7
Brandon Mitchell-Day 24 3-6 1-2 1-4 5 1 0 1 0 8 9 +11.3
Jayden Williams 15 2-3 1-2 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 6 3 +5.0
R. Myrthil 14 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 0 0 -0.2
Connor Christensen 13 0-0 0-0 1-1 3 0 0 0 3 1 1 +0.3
Niko Abusara 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 1 -2.2

* = starter