Model Predictions
| Model | North Alabama Lions | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.4% | 92.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.1% | 97.9% | +21.1 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +27 (81-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Alabama Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimel Lane * | 28 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| W. Soucie * | 27 | 2-9 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| T. Smith Jr. * | 26 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| D. Forrest * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | - |
| KJ Johnson * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| J. Fulcher | 20 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| M. Foster | 19 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Canin Jefferson | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| E. Nelson | 9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| M. Clark | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jamal Albritton | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Matthews * | 27 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 13 | - |
| D.J. Jeffries * | 24 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Jimmy Bell Jr. * | 23 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Trey Fort * | 22 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Dashawn Davis * | 21 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Josh Hubbard | 23 | 4-13 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Shakeel Moore | 15 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Andrew Taylor | 14 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Shawn Jones Jr. | 14 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Gai Chol | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Adrian Myers | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Isaac Stansbury | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter