Model Predictions
| Model | SMU Mustangs | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.5% | 47.5% | -0.6 | ✓ (10.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 79.6% | 20.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles -11 (57-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Harris * | 32 | 9-15 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 17 | - |
| Z. Phelps * | 31 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 2 | - |
| S. Williamson * | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| B.J. Edwards * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| K. Ambrose-Hylton * | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| T. Smith | 25 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 18 | - |
| J. Smith | 18 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| J. Hudson | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| E. Lanier | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| R. Wright | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Da. Green Jr. * | 28 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Player #4606840 * | 20 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| B. Miller * | 19 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| D. Green * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| J. Warley * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| P. Spears | 25 | 2-14 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -2 | - |
| C. Jackson | 20 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| J. Nickelberry | 18 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Player #4397913 | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| T.B. Bowen | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| W. Mbatch | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Adebisi | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. House | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter