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2023-12-03

Model Predictions

Model UConn Huskies Texas Longhorns Spread Result
Elo 48.3% 51.7% -
Bradley-Terry 50.1% 49.9% -
Margin 65.7% 34.3% -3.6 (15.6 off)
Pythagorean 47.2% 52.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 53.7% 46.3% -
Log Adjusted 47.5% 52.5% -

Actual: Texas Longhorns +12 (80-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Edwards 38 9-11 0-0 4-8 6 3 1 0 3 22 18 -
N. Muhl 38 4-4 1-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 5 9 2 -
P. Bueckers 35 4-11 2-5 3-4 4 4 2 0 1 13 11 -
I. Brady 26 2-7 0-2 0-0 3 3 0 1 5 4 -1 -
KK Arnold 24 2-4 0-0 5-6 3 3 1 0 2 9 10 -
A. Griffin 20 0-2 0-1 0-0 6 1 0 1 4 0 2 -
A. Shade 11 3-3 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 7 3 -
Q. Samuels 8 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 3 -

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Booker 40 9-21 1-4 1-3 3 4 2 1 3 20 6 -
R. Harmon 39 9-17 2-5 7-8 5 13 1 0 2 27 27 -
A. Muhammad 34 6-8 0-0 3-4 8 0 2 0 1 15 16 -
S. Gonzales 32 3-9 2-5 2-2 1 0 1 0 0 10 3 -
T. Jones 18 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 0 2 5 -
A. Moore 12 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -3 -
K. Faye 11 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 0 -
S. Holle 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
N. Mwenentanda 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter