Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | UConn Huskies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.6% | 93.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.1% | 94.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.0% | 100.0% | +55.9 | ✓ (11.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UConn Huskies +44 (102-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Wolf | 37 | 6-15 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 3 | - |
| A. Jones | 28 | 4-14 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | -1 | - |
| M. Perez | 27 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| D. Bohanon | 27 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | - |
| S. Wheeler | 25 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| R. Rismiller | 23 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 3 | - |
| N. Lear | 17 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| D. Lightbourne | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Cleveland | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Kozlova | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Fiala | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
UConn Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Fudd | 26 | 4-12 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| A. Edwards | 25 | 10-12 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 21 | - |
| P. Bueckers | 21 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| N. Muhl | 21 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| C. Ducharme | 20 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| KK Arnold | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 18 | - |
| Q. Samuels | 16 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| A. Shade | 16 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| A. Griffin | 15 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| I. Brady | 10 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| I. Bettencourt | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. DeBerry | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter