Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Grand Canyon Lopes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.5% | 44.5% | -1.2 | ✗ (7.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Grand Canyon Lopes +6 (79-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaedon Ledee * | 35 | 9-16 | 2-3 | 4-6 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 17 | - |
| R. Waters * | 34 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Micah Parrish * | 31 | 3-10 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Lamont Butler * | 28 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-4 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Elijah Saunders * | 22 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Darrion Trammell | 20 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Jay Pal | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Miles Byrd | 9 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Miles Heide | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Demarshay Johnson Jr. | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Grand Canyon Lopes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe McGlothan * | 37 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 22 | - |
| Tyon Grant-Foster * | 36 | 5-15 | 2-8 | 6-9 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Ray Harrison * | 34 | 6-11 | 2-6 | 9-10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 19 | - |
| Collin Moore * | 30 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Duke Brennan * | 27 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Sydney Curry | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Isaiah Shaw | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Josh Baker | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Lok Wur | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter