Model Predictions
| Model | American University Eagles | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.6% | 90.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.3% | 98.7% | +23.8 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Efficiency | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats +27 (90-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Stephens * | 29 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Lincoln Ball * | 28 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Matt Mayock * | 22 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Lorenzo Donadio * | 22 | 2-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Matt Rogers * | 20 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Geoff Sprouse | 23 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Colin Smalls | 21 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Jermaine Ballisager Webb | 19 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Greg Jones | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Dixon * | 27 | 6-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Justin Moore * | 27 | 5-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| TJ Bamba * | 21 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Tyler Burton * | 20 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 3-5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Mark Armstrong * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Hakim Hart | 22 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Brendan Hausen | 20 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Jordan Longino | 20 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Lance Ware | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Nnanna Njoku | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Chris Arcidiacono | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter