Model Predictions
| Model | Mercer Bears | App State Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 32.5% | 67.5% | +4.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: App State Mountaineers +3 (81-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Briana Peguero | 33 | 6-16 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 4 | - |
| S. Jones | 32 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Cianté Downs | 26 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| D. Williams | 25 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 5 | - |
| A. Johnson | 23 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| M. Johnson | 22 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| A. Locke | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Maria Serracanta | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Summah Evans | 5 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Frazier | 36 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| F. Alston | 33 | 9-16 | 3-4 | 10-12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 31 | 23 | - |
| J'Mani Ingram | 30 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Alexis Black | 29 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Rylan Moffitt | 24 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Chae Harris | 17 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Zada Porter | 15 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| MaKenzie Drout | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Samantha Lafon | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Bugajski | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter