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2023-11-07

Model Predictions

Model Auburn Tigers Baylor Bears Spread Result
Elo 49.6% 50.4% -
Bradley-Terry 53.4% 46.6% -
Margin 63.1% 36.9% -2.9 (8.9 off)
Pythagorean 57.9% 42.1% -
Efficiency 73.3% 26.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 83.0% 17.0% -
Log Adjusted 83.1% 16.9% -

Actual: Baylor Bears +6 (88-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Broome * 26 4-10 2-3 6-10 11 2 0 1 1 16 19 -
J. Williams * 26 2-6 0-1 0-0 6 1 0 1 2 4 4 -
D. Jones * 24 4-10 3-5 2-2 1 2 1 0 2 13 5 -
C. Moore * 23 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 2 0 4 5 -
T. Donaldson * 13 2-3 0-1 2-2 3 1 0 0 4 6 3 -
A. Holloway 27 6-15 4-8 3-5 3 6 0 1 3 19 11 -
K.D. Johnson 16 3-5 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 6 1 -
D. Cardwell 14 2-3 0-0 1-3 4 4 1 5 0 5 16 -
C. Johnson 14 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
C. Baker-Mazara 12 2-4 0-0 3-3 2 0 2 0 1 7 6 -
L. Berman 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Walter * 34 7-13 4-7 10-10 5 0 0 0 2 28 18 -
J. Bridges * 31 4-10 2-6 3-5 8 2 2 1 0 13 16 -
J. Nunn * 29 1-8 0-1 5-6 6 3 3 1 0 7 12 -
R. Dennis * 29 6-10 1-1 2-2 4 2 2 0 7 15 6 -
J. Tchamwa Tchatchoua * 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
L. Love 20 3-9 2-4 2-3 2 1 1 0 0 10 5 -
Y. Missi 18 3-5 0-0 4-6 1 0 2 2 1 10 9 -
J. Ojianwuna 16 1-2 0-0 1-2 5 1 0 0 2 3 5 -
C. Lohner 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
D. Grimes 2 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Little 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 0 -

* = starter