Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Vanderbilt Commodores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.4% | 49.6% | -0.1 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 73.7% | 26.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 90.7% | 9.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.6% | 11.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.6% | 11.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores -6 (78-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Morsell * | 36 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| DJ Burns Jr. * | 29 | 6-18 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Jayden Taylor * | 25 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| DJ Horne * | 25 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Mohamed Diarra * | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Dennis Parker Jr. | 33 | 7-10 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Michael O'Connell | 27 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Ben Middlebrooks | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Breon Pass | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
Vanderbilt Commodores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Lewis * | 32 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Tyrin Lawrence * | 29 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 10-14 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Evan Taylor * | 28 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| V. Lubin * | 28 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Colin Smith * | 24 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jason Rivera-Torres | 19 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Tasos Kamateros | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jordan Williams | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Lee Dort | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Isaiah West | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| J. Roberts | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter