Model Predictions
| Model | American University Eagles | UMBC Retrievers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.9% | 59.1% | +2.0 | ✗ (4.0 off) |
| Efficiency | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UMBC Retrievers -2 (85-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Stephens * | 32 | 6-12 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Lincoln Ball * | 31 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Lorenzo Donadio * | 27 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Matt Mayock * | 25 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Matt Rogers * | 25 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Geoff Sprouse | 20 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Colin Smalls | 18 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Jermaine Ballisager Webb | 15 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Greg Jones | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Johnson * | 34 | 11-16 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 18 | - |
| Dion Brown * | 27 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Ashton Reese * | 25 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Marcus Banks * | 23 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Khydarius Smith * | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Max Lorca-Lloyd | 26 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Marlon Short | 19 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Franck Emmou | 16 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Ace Valentine | 10 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Devan Sapp | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Regimantas Ciunys | 5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter